Founder, Quantcha
Ed Kaim
How event contracts fit alongside the options and stocks you already trade.
I'm the founder of Quantcha, where I've built options analytics and trading tools for active traders since 2014. More recently I've built the same kind of tooling for prediction markets and event contracts, and both now live in one platform. I write and speak about what event contracts mean for people who trade options and stocks, including the parts of the options playbook that don't carry over.
About
Ed Kaim is the founder of Quantcha, a financial software company specializing in equity options. Since 2014 he's built an end-to-end options trading platform and sold proprietary options analytics to brokerages, hedge funds, and market makers.
His current work sits where options, equities, and event contracts overlap. He has built analytics on each side, and his writing covers how prediction markets actually behave, what they add for an options or stock trader, and where the options playbook stops working. He publishes the Options & Prediction Markets newsletter on LinkedIn.
Selected writing
- What Options Greeks Can Teach Us About Prediction Markets Where the crossover starts: mapping delta, gamma, and theta onto prediction markets, and where the analogy breaks.
- What Kalshi's Margin Filing Means for Options Premium Sellers Why the one prediction market trade that looks like premium selling already pays very little, and what margin does to what's left.
- Will KPI Event Contracts Shake Up Earnings Season? Binaries on reported EPS and operating metrics price the number, not the stock's reaction. Who trades them, and who's on the other side.
- Using Prediction Markets to Price AI Compute Derivatives A ladder of binaries is already a full probability distribution, so a future, a call, and a put can be derived straight from it with no volatility input.
- Batting 1.000 on a Baseball Prediction Market: A Field Report on Insider Trading A first-hand report from inside a live market—how legal "courtsiding" becomes de facto insider trading once a binary resolves.
The Quantcha umbrella
- Qwidgets A modern investment platform for active traders: one place to plan, track, and manage investments of any kind. Today that spans options, equities, and prediction markets, with more instrument classes on the way.
- Quantcha Options Suite End-to-end options trading and analytics platform for active traders, in market since 2014.
- Quantcha Data & API Proprietary options datasets for quants and institutions, available on Nasdaq Data Link or as a custom dataset.
- Consequitur Cross-event sensitivity platform mapping how one event moves another. Public beta. Technical document (v1.0).